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> "serious crimes" (whatever that means)

If you click the link in the article to the author's paper [0], "serious crimes" are defined in detail...

And you were correct to call that out. Thanks! Happy to be wrong on this one.

True conviction rates for specifically reported murder/manslaughter are generally around 50%. Theft and Burglary indeed skew the numbers a lot, with an extremely low clearance rate and vastly more reports. (All theft/burglary losses combined are only a fraction of wage theft [1], for perspective.)

All that said - if these were murders, they were committed by people with a vastly different set of resources compared to the average 'crime of passion'. I doubt that conviction statistics re professional murder are easy to come by, but I'd bet everything I own that they're significantly lower than 50%.

0 - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3566383

1 - https://www.epi.org/publication/wage-theft-bigger-problem-fo...



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