The most challenging part of software development (and the reason we have well-paying jobs) is not understanding syntax, it's analysing and abstracting a problem domain into a set of cleanly separated modules that interact to solve those problems. That being the case then, actually none of us is getting replaced by GPT-n any time soon - 'prompt engineering' will just become the new Javascript, only more abstract; just another tool in the toolbox. Hopefully :-)
Correct. But once everyone has that tool in their toolbox everyone will become more productive, meaning skills scarcity will be greatly reduced. In turn that will lead to massive wage depression.
You mean such as when high level languages became mainstream and we no longer needed to code in assembly language? Or when IDEs became widely available? The underlying design skills are still difficult to acquire and not displaced by new tools - that is at least until SoftwareArchitectGPT comes along...
